Оригинална статия Международна икономика

ОТНОСНО ВЪЗДЕЙСТВИЕТО НА ТРАНСАТЛАНТИЧЕСКОТО ПАРТНЬОРСТВО ЗА ТЪРГОВИЯ И ИНВЕСТИЦИИ В ЮГОИЗТОЧНА И ИЗТОЧНА ЕВРОПА: КОЛИЧЕСТВЕН АНАЛИЗ

Марио Ларх - Университет Дрексел, Филадилфия - САЩ
Йото В. Йотов - Институт за икономически изследвания при БАН, Ifo Institute, Germany
Получена: 08 юни 2022
Ревизирана:
Публикувана:
Сваляния: 0
Търси по JEL таг 0
Книжка 3/2017
JEL F13 F13 F14 F16
DOI https://doi.org/10.56497/etj1762302

Резюме

Въпреки огромния всеобщ интерес и значителната полемика във връзка със сключването на Споразумението за Трансатлантическо партньорство за търговия и инвестиции (ТПТИ) и потенциалното му въздействие се обръща малко внимание на отражението на тази търговска мегасделка върху страните-членки на ЕС и извън ЕС в Югоизточна и Източна Европа. За запълване на тази ниша тук са представени прилаганите стандартни количествени методи за анализ на влиянието на либерализацията на търговията. Предложена е подробна дискусия за трансмисионните канали, по които първоначалният шок от либерализация на търговията (например създаване на ТПТИ) ще засегне потребителите, производителите и общото благосъстояние в държавите-членки, както и в трети страни. Вниманието е насочено към страните от Югоизточна и Източна Европа, както и към държавите-членки на ЕС (например България) и трети страни (например Македония). Направено е предвиждане, че докато ТПТИ ще бъде от полза за всички държави от Югоизточна и Източна Европа, участващи в него, разходите им за търговия със САЩ ще останат високи. Освен това страните от този регион, които не са част от ТПТИ, ще претърпят загуби, които обаче ще се намалят при търговията с членките на ТПТИ от Югоизточна и Източна Европа и други съседни държави от региона.

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