Mathematical and Quantitative Methods

Long-term Forecasting of the Expenses on Healthcare in Bulgaria, 2005-2050

Rossitsa Rangelova - Economic Research Institute аt BAS
Grigor Sariyski - Economic Research Institute аt BAS
Received: 16 Jun 2022
Revised:
Published:
Downloads: 0
Citations: 0
Issue 4/2007
JEL C53 C32 I18 J00 H5

Abstract

The article studies the correlations between the most important demographic and economic indicators related to the expenses on healthcare in Bulgaria and through the application of a model of the International Labour Organisation (ILO) long-term forecasts on these expenses are received. The main characteristics and features of the model are presented, the diversity and the problems in the collection of the necessary input data are commented and after the realization of the model to the year 2050 the main results are outlined.

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